Segunda División - Final

Malaga vs Almeria

14/06/2026 19:00 UTC Scheduled
Malaga Malaga Home
vs
Almeria Almeria Away
Confidence Overall ? Low Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Slight Home Mid
Match preview

Malaga vs Almeria preview

Public data

Malaga vs Almeria is a Segunda División match scheduled for 2026-06-14 at 19:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
D W W D W
9 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
2.1 / 1.2
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 70.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
30.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.9
pre-match model estimate
Possession
49.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 7 Passing accuracy 85.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W D W L L
7 GF / 8 GA
Goal average
1.9 / 1.9
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
70.0% / 80.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
20.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.32
pre-match model estimate
Possession
50.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 5 Unbeaten streak 3 Passing accuracy 80.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 10, previous seasons: 0).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
Malaga
Metric/Average
Almeria
49.0%
Ball possession
50.0%
85.2%
Passing accuracy
80.2%
437.6
Total passes
383.8
6.2
Shots on target
5.4
14.2
Total shots
16.0
4.2
Shots off target
7.4
3.8
Blocked shots
3.2
4.2
Corners
4.0
12.6
Fouls
17.4
2.8
Offsides
2.0
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.8
Malaga
W / D / L%
W 50.0%
D 40.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.9
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
Almeria
W / D / L%
W 30.0%
D 30.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.3
GA 1.8
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 70.0%
2026-04-19
Almeria 3-2 Malaga
2025-12-21
Malaga 2-1 Almeria
2025-03-01
Almeria 2-2 Malaga
2024-12-08
Malaga 1-1 Almeria
2022-02-12
Malaga 0-1 Almeria
Malaga
3 days ago ES2
Malaga - Las Palmas 1-1 D
6 days ago ES2
Las Palmas - Malaga 0-1 W
13 days ago ES2
Zaragoza - Malaga 0-2 W
20 days ago ES2
Malaga - Racing Santander 1-1 D
28 days ago ES2
AD Ceuta FC - Malaga 1-4 W
Almeria
4 days ago ES2
Almeria - Castellón 3-2 W
7 days ago ES2
Castellón - Almeria 1-1 D
13 days ago ES2
Almeria - Valladolid 1-0 W
20 days ago ES2
Sporting Gijon - Almeria 3-1 L
28 days ago ES2
Almeria - Las Palmas 1-2 L

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-13T03:27:25.770853+00:00
Malaga Malaga - Almeria Almeria
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.9
Away xG
1.32
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
49.0%
Draw
25.2%
Away
25.8%

Top scoreline

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
Others
72.0%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
61.2%
Under 2.5
38.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
62.8%
BTTS: NO
37.2%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Medium
Confidence BTTS Medium
Confidence Scoreline Low
Malaga Malaga - Almeria Almeria

Premium Outcome

Extended premium model output, with additional markets and dedicated confidence.
Premium Access
This section is available to premium users only.
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Malaga Malaga - Almeria Almeria

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is Malaga vs Almeria?

Malaga vs Almeria is scheduled for 2026-06-14 at 19:00 UTC.

Which competition includes Malaga vs Almeria?

The match is part of Segunda División.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor Malaga?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: Malaga reaches 1.90 xG against Almeria's 1.32. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.