World Cup - Group stage - Group Stage

England vs Croatia

17/06/2026 20:00 UTC Scheduled
England England Home
vs
Croatia Croatia Away
Confidence Overall ? Medium Agreement ? High Reliability ? Medium Match Type ? Uneven Home Mid
Match preview

England vs Croatia preview

Public data

England vs Croatia is a World Cup match scheduled for 2026-06-17 at 20:00 UTC. This page gives a public pre-match view of the fixture context: recent form, team averages, statistical comparison, and useful details before kick-off.

Match Statistics

Pre-match analysis based on recent averages, including matches across seasons and competitions.
Pre-match only - not live stats
These indicators describe context before kick-off and stay separate from the dedicated Live page.
Form 5
W W W W W
16 GF / 0 GA
Goal average
3.0 / 0.0
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
50.0% / 0.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
100.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
1.71
pre-match model estimate
Possession
73.0%
last 5
Scoring streak 10 Unbeaten streak 10 Passing accuracy 91.2%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Form 5
W W W D W
13 GF / 3 GA
Goal average
2.8 / 0.6
GF/match - GA/match
Over 2.5 / BTTS
60.0% / 30.0%
last 10
Clean sheet
60.0%
last 10
XGoals Pre-Match
0.82
pre-match model estimate
Possession
71.4%
last 5
Scoring streak 3 Unbeaten streak 8 Passing accuracy 87.6%
Matches considered for form and goals: 10 (current season: 0, previous seasons: 10).
Matches used for these metrics: 5.
Recent match statistics comparison
Pre-match averages over the latest 5 usable matches
England
Metric/Average
Croatia
73.0%
Ball possession
71.4%
91.2%
Passing accuracy
87.6%
685.4
Total passes
573.4
7.8
Shots on target
7.2
18.4
Total shots
21.4
5.6
Shots off target
9.6
5.0
Blocked shots
4.6
6.8
Corners
9.0
9.6
Fouls
10.0
2.4
Offsides
1.8
1.0
Goalkeeper saves
1.8
England
W / D / L%
W 60.0%
D 30.0%
L 10.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.9
GA 0.4
Over 2.5% 30.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
Croatia
W / D / L%
W 40.0%
D 20.0%
L 40.0%
GF / GA match
GF 1.7
GA 1.3
Over 2.5% 50.0%
BTTS% 30.0%
2021-06-13
England 1-0 Croatia
2018-11-18
England 2-1 Croatia
2018-10-12
Croatia 0-0 England
2018-07-11
Croatia 1-1 England
England
209 days ago WCQE
Albania - England 0-2 W
212 days ago WCQE
England - Serbia 2-0 W
242 days ago WCQE
Latvia - England 0-5 W
277 days ago WCQE
Serbia - England 0-5 W
280 days ago WCQE
England - Andorra 2-0 W
Croatia
208 days ago WCQE
Montenegro - Croatia 2-3 W
211 days ago WCQE
Croatia - Faroe Islands 3-1 W
244 days ago WCQE
Croatia - Gibraltar 3-0 W
247 days ago WCQE
Czechia - Croatia 0-0 D
278 days ago WCQE
Croatia - Montenegro 4-0 W

Model Outcome

Pre-match model output, separated from descriptive match statistics.
Model poisson_v1.2.4
Updated: 2026-06-13T02:25:59.889204+00:00
England England - Croatia Croatia
Model Estimate

Pre-match xG

Home xG
1.71
Away xG
0.82
Market probabilities

Home / Draw / Away

Home
58.4%
Draw
24.2%
Away
17.4%

Top scoreline

1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
Others
63.4%
Market probabilities

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%

BTTS: YES/NO

BTTS: YES
45.9%
BTTS: NO
54.1%
Context metrics
Confidence 1X2 Medium
Confidence U/O Low
Confidence BTTS Low
Confidence Scoreline Medium
England England - Croatia Croatia

Premium Outcome

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England England - Croatia Croatia

Community Outcome

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FAQ

Match FAQ

When is England vs Croatia?

England vs Croatia is scheduled for 2026-06-17 at 20:00 UTC.

Which competition includes England vs Croatia?

The match is part of World Cup.

Which pre-match data is available?

The page shows public data such as recent form, goal averages, team comparison, and match context.

Why does the model favor England?

The main edge is in the pre-match xG estimate: England reaches 1.71 xG against Croatia's 0.82. This suggests higher expected attacking volume and a better chance of creating scoring chances.